socforecast: Solmate Sea of Cortes Forecast


URL: http://svsarana.com/wx-data/Sea%20of%20Cortez%20Forecast.html
Date: 28 Aug 2025 08:16:21 -0000
Last-Modified: 28 Aug 2025 07:01:06 -0000

(Converted from HTML)
Sea of Cortez Forecast

Sea of Cortez Forecast
August 28, 2025, 3:01 am (UTC: -04:00)
Subject: Sea of Cortez Forecast

Questions/Comments visit http://svsarana.com

This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM JULIETTE NEAR 24.6N 120.7W 1006 MB AT 0300 UTC
AUG 28 MOVING NNW OR 330 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40
KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM NE
QUADRANT...20 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 30 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 4 M OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE...75 NM
NE QUADRANT AND 45 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 4.5 M. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 26N119W TO 26N121W TO 24N121W TO 24N119W TO 24N118W TO
26N119W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 4.0 M. REMAINDER OF AREA
WITHIN 26N118W TO 26N121W TO 24N123W TO 22N122W TO 23N118W TO
24N117W TO 26N118W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M IN
MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW JULIETTE NEAR 26.9N
121.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. WITHIN
28N120W TO 28N121W TO 27N121W TO 27N120W TO 28N120W WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS 2.5 TO 3.0 M.
.36 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW JULIETTE NEAR 27.3N
121.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. OVER FORECAST
WATERS WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

ASIDE FROM JULIETTE THAT IS AFFECTING THE FAR OUTER BAJA
CALIFORNIA OFFSHORE WATERS, FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY GAP WINDS
IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GENERATED BY HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING
INTO NE MEXICO ARE CAUSING ROUGH SEAS. FOR THE REMAINDER OF
OFFSHORE WATERS, WINDS ARE MODERATE OR WEAKER WITH MODERATE SEAS
IN SOUTHERLY SWELL, WITH SLIGHT SEAS IN THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
TROPICAL STORM JULIETTE IS CENTERED NEAR 24.6N 120.7W AT 28/0300
UTC, MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 8 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 40 KT WITH
GUSTS TO 50 KT. PEAK SEAS ARE NEAR 15 FT, OR 4.5 M. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS BEING DISPERSED WELL OFF TO THE NNE OF
THE SYSTEM INTO PORTIONS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE AND SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA. CURRENTLY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED IN
AN ELONGATED PLUME FROM 24N TO 30N BETWEEN 117W AND 121W. GLOBAL
MODELS PREDICT THAT RESIDUAL MID-TO UPPER-TROPOSPHERIC MOISTURE
WILL BE ADVECTED TOWARD PORTIONS OF NORTHWESTERN MEXICO AND THE
SOUTHWESTERN U.S., POTENTIALLY INCREASING HUMIDITY CONDITIONS AND
ENHANCING LOCAL MONSOONAL RAINFALL TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK.
JULIETTE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AND A TURN TO THE
NORTH AND A REDUCTION IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER NEXT 24
HOURS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST, AND JULIETTE IS EXPECTED TO
DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW LATE THU. PLEASE READ THE LATEST
HIGH SEAS FORECAST ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
WEBSITE - HTTPS://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TEXT/MIAHSFEP2.SHTML AND THE
LATEST JULIETTE NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY AND PUBLIC ADVISORY AT
WWW.HURRICANES.GOV FOR MORE DETAILS.

SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ NORTHERN HALF (north of 27N)
TODAY - W 10-13, Seas SSW 1.5-4.2 feet @ 8sec
TONITE - W 10-13, Seas SSW 1.5-4.2 feet @ 8sec
FRIDAY - W 12-15, Seas SW 2.1-3.8 feet @ 17sec
FRIDAY NIGHT - W 12-15, Seas SW 2.1-3.8 feet @ 17sec

SHORT-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ SOUTHERN HALF (south of 27N)
TODAY - W 7-9, Seas S 0-5.4 feet @ 14sec
TONITE - W 7-9, Seas S 0-5.4 feet @ 14sec
FRIDAY - NW 4-5, Seas SSW 0-4.6 feet @ 19sec
FRIDAY NIGHT - NW 4-5, Seas SSW 0-4.6 feet @ 19sec

LONG-TERM SEA OF CORTEZ
SATURDAY - Northern Half W 11-14, Seas SSW 2-3.7 feet @ 18sec, Southern Half WNW 5-6, Seas SSW 0-4.7 feet @ 19sec
SUNDAY - Northern Half W 10-12, Seas SSW 1.7-3.6 feet @ 16sec, Southern Half WSW 6-8, Seas SSW 0-4.9 feet @ 16sec
MONDAY - Northern Half N 9-11, Seas SSW 0-3.7 feet @ 15sec, Southern Half WSW 7-9, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
TUESDAY - Northern Half WSW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern Half WSW 8-10, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?
WEDNESDAY - Northern Half WSW 10-12, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?, Southern Half SE 9-11, Seas N/A ?-? feet @ ?