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southerncrossingforecast: Solmate Southern Crossing Forecast

URL: http://svsarana.com/wx-data/Sea%20of%20Cortez%20Southern%20Crossing%20Forecast.html
Date: 10 Feb 2026 03:48:57 -0000
Last-Modified: 10 Feb 2026 02:00:55 -0000
Expires: 31 Dec 2037 23:55:55 -0000

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Sea of Cortez Southern Crossing Forecast

Sea of Cortez Southern Crossing Forecast
February 9, 2026, 9:00 pm (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Sea of Cortez Southern Crossing Forecast

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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.

WARNINGS
.NONE.

GALE-FORCE GAP WINDS DIMINISHED EARLIER TODAY ACROSS THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC, BUT STRONG TO NEAR- GALE FORCE WINDS AND 8 TO 11 FT
SEAS PERSIST ACROSS THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. GENTLE TO MODERATE
BREEZES PERSIST ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF MEXICO.
SEAS ARE 5 TO 7 FT OVERALL, EXCEPT 2 TO 3 FT SEAS IN THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, FRESH TO STRONG SW WINDS WILL PULSE ACROSS THE
NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA TUE AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. THE FRONT WILL SLOWLY DISSIPATE AS IT
MOVES INTO BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE WED INTO THU. LARGE NW SWELL
WILL FOLLOW THE SWELL INTO THE WATERS OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE
WED AND WED NIGHT, AND IN THE OUTER WATERS OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA
SUR NORTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO WED NIGHT INTO THU. LOOKING AHEAD,
ANOTHER FRONT WILL APPROACH BAJA CALIFORNIA FRI FOLLOWED BY FRESH
NW WINDS AND LARGE SWELL NEAR GUADALUPE ISLAND. FARTHER SOUTH,
FRESH TO STRONG GAP WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS WILL PULSE ACROSS THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC TONIGHT INTO TUE, AND THEN AGAIN LATE WED
INTO THU.

AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA TO AN UPPER
LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED OVER 10N120W. DIVERGENT FLOW ALOFT
NEAR THIS FEATURE IS SUPPORTING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN 105W AND 115W, AND UNDER
THE COLD CORE OF THE UPPER LOW NEAR 10N120W. AN ASSOCIATED
SURFACE TROUGH IS ANALYZED ALONG 115W FROM 06N TO 15N. A RECENT
SCATTEROMETER SATELLITE PASS INDICATED FRESH TO STRONG NE WINDS
ALONG THIS TROUGH, SOUTHWEST OF CLIPPERTON ISLAND. FARTHER WEST,
THE SCATTEROMETER PASS ALSO CONFIRMED FRESH TO STRONG NE TRADE
WINDS EXTENDING NORTH OF THE ITCZ TO NEAR 20N, WEST OF 125W.
FARTHER NORTH, THE SCATTEROMETER CAPTURED A SMALL CIRCULATION
NEAR 33N133W, WHICH IS THE PARENT LOW ACCOMPANYING A COLD FRONT
MOVING WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE DISCUSSION WATERS NORTH OF 25N
WEST OF 130W. FRESH TO STRONG NW WINDS AND LARGE NW SWELL FOLLOW
THE FRONT. THE SWELL IS REINFORCING AN AREA OF OLDER SWELL IN
EXCESS OF 8 FT COVERING MOST OF THE AREA WEST OF 130W.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD
ACROSS THE WATERS NORTH OF 20N TOWARD BAJA CALIFORNIA THROUGH MID
WEEK. THIS WILL IN TURN ALLOW THE FRESH TO STRONG TRADE WINDS IN
THE DEEP TROPICS WEST OF 125W TO DIMINISH THROUGH TONIGHT. THE
ASSOCIATED ROUGH SEAS WILL SUBSIDE ACCORDINGLY. MEANWHILE, FRESH
TO STRONG NW WINDS AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WILL FOLLOW THE
FRONT AS IT CONTINUES WESTWARD AND REACHES A POSITION FROM
30N125W TO 21N140W EARLY TUE. THE WINDS WILL DIMINISH THROUGH TUE
NIGHT, BUT LARGE SHORTER-PERIOD NW SWELL OF 8 TO 11 FT WILL
COVER THE AREA NORTH OF 25N AND WEST OF 120W BEFORE DECAYING
BELOW 8 FT THROUGH MID WEEK. LOOKING AHEAD, A LOW PRESSURE AREA
AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL MOVE WESTWARD ACROSS THE WATERS
NORTH OF 20N WED THROUGH FRI, FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER ROUND OF STRONG
WINDS AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS.

SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - WSW 11-14, Seas SSW 1.5-3.1 ft @ 15sec
TONITE - NW 8-10, Seas SSW 1.7-3.5 ft @ 19sec
WEDNESDAY - NNW 12-15, Seas SSW 2.1-3.8 ft @ 18sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - NW 10-12, Seas SSW 3.1-4.4 ft @ 18sec

LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
THURSDAY - NNW 11-14, Seas SSW 2.7-4.1 ft @ 16sec
FRIDAY - NW 10-12, Seas SSW 2.9-4.2 ft @ 15sec
SATURDAY - NNW 14-18, Seas SSW 1.8-3.2 ft @ 14sec
SUNDAY - NW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
MONDAY - Not available yet