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southerncrossingforecast: Solmate Southern Crossing Forecast

URL: http://svsarana.com/wx-data/Sea%20of%20Cortez%20Southern%20Crossing%20Forecast.html
Date: 17 Feb 2026 19:52:14 -0000
Last-Modified: 17 Feb 2026 14:01:18 -0000
Expires: 31 Dec 2037 23:55:55 -0000

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Sea of Cortez Southern Crossing Forecast

Sea of Cortez Southern Crossing Forecast
February 17, 2026, 9:01 am (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Sea of Cortez Southern Crossing Forecast

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This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.

WARNINGS
.NONE.

.COLD FRONT FROM 32N114W TO 29N114.5W. WITHIN 31N113W TO 32N114W
TO 31N115W TO 30N114W TO 31N113W...INCLUDING THE NORTHERN GULF
OF CALIFORNIA...S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.12 HOUR FORECAST DISSIPATING COLD FRONT FROM 28N111W TO
26N111.5W. CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS
THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT DISSIPATED. LITTLE CHANGE.
.30 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 31.5N113.5W TO 30.5N115W. WITHIN
31N113W TO 31N114W TO 31N115W TO 30N114W TO 30N113W TO 31N113W
...INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA...SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.
SEAS BUILDING TO 2.5 M.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH DIFFUSE. CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.

SIGNIFICANT LARGE NW SWELL: LARGE NW SWELL CONTINUES TO MOVE
SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE NW AND NORTH-CENTRAL WATERS THIS
EVENING, BEHIND AND JUST AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT WHICH EXTENDS
FROM THE FAR NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA NEAR 27.5N115W TO
OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA AT 15N125W. SEAS OF 12 FT AND GREATER COVER
THE WATERS N OF 22N AND W OF 120W, PEAKING AROUND 17 FT NEAR
30N128W. VERY ROUGH SEAS OF 12 FT AND GREATER WILL CONTINUE TO
PROPAGATE SOUTHEASTWARD TODAY, THEN WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY
SUBSIDE DURING THE AFTERNOON. SEAS WILL THEN CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE
TO LESS THAN 12 FT THIS EVENING, BEFORE NEW N SWELL ENTERS THE
NORTHERN WATERS BY EARLY WED, RAISING SEAS ABOVE 12 FT ACROSS THE
WATERS N OF 26N BETWEEN 116W AND 140W BY WED EVENING, AND
SPREADING SOUTHWARD INTO EARLY THU BEFORE SLOWLY SUBSIDING TO
LESS THAN 12 FT THU NIGHT. LOOKING AHEAD, ANOTHER SIGNIFICANT AND
LARGE NW SWELL EVENT IS POSSIBLE IN THE NW WATERS LATE IN THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST
NWS HIGH SEAS FORECAST AT WEBSITE:
HTTPS://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TEXT/MIAHSFEP2.SHTML FOR MORE DETAILS.

A COLD FRONT STRETCHES FROM THE FAR NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA
NEAR 27.5N115W TO OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA AT 15N125W. FRESH TO NEAR
GALE-FORCE SW WINDS ARE IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA AHEAD
OF THE FRONT, WITH FRESH TO STRONG WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT
OFFSHORE BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTE N OF 27N. A GALE WARNING IS IN
PLACE JUST N OF 30N IN THE SAN DIEGO COASTAL WATERS FOR EARLY
TODAY AND AGAIN TONIGHT. BUILDING SEAS IN ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH NW
SWELL ARE ARRIVING BEHIND THE FRONT. FRESH TO STRONG N GAP WINDS
ARE IN THE IMMEDIATE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC PER RECENT ASCAT
SCATTEROMETER DATA. WINDS ARE MODERATE OR WEAKER ACROSS THE
REMAINDER OF THE WATERS WITH MODERATE SEAS, EXCEPT LOCALLY FRESH
WINDS NEAR CABO CORRIENTES, AND SLIGHT SEAS IN THE CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE COLD FRONT FROM THE FAR NORTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA TO OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA WILL GRADUALLY DISSIPATE
THROUGH TONIGHT. FRESH TO STRONG S TO SW WINDS AHEAD OF THE
FRONT AND IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA WILL PERSIST THROUGH
ABOUT MIDDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN ACROSS THE AREA WATERS
IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT THROUGH FRI, PRODUCING FRESH TO LOCALLY
STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS NEARSHORE BAJA CALIFORNIA TO NEAR CABO
CORRIENTES WED THROUGH THU NIGHT. STRONG TO NEAR GALE-FORCE W TO
SW WINDS WILL DEVELOP AGAIN ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA EARLY WED THROUGH WED EVENING, THEN AGAIN THU NIGHT
INTO EARLY FRI DUE TO LOCALIZED TROUGHING. NW SWELL WILL CONTINUE
TO BUILD ACROSS THE WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA THROUGH WED, THEN
BECOME REINFORCED WED NIGHT THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK,
DECAYING DURING THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. FRESH TO STRONG WINDS WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC THIS MORNING BEFORE
DIMINISHING, THEN BECOME ONSHORE WED THROUGH SAT. LOOKING AHEAD,
LONG RANGE MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES THE POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST A
STRONG GALE-FORCE NORTHERLY GAP WIND EVENT IN THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC LATE IN THE UPCOMING WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK,
ALTHOUGH UNCERTAINTY EXISTS BEING SO FAR OUT IN TIME. PLEASE STAY
TUNED AS WE GET CLOSER TO THIS NEXT POTENTIAL EVENT.

A COLD FRONT STRETCHES FROM THE FAR NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA
NEAR 27.5N115W TO OFF BAJA CALIFORNIA AT 15N125W. FRESH TO
STRONG W-NW WINDS ARE N OF 27N BETWEEN 119W AND 127W. FRESH TO
STRONG NE TRADES ARE FOUND FROM 11N TO 22N BETWEEN 128W AND
140W PER RECENT ASCAT SCATTEROMETER DATA. WINDS ARE MAINLY
MODERATE OR WEAKER ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE OPEN WATERS. ROUGH
SEAS ARE W OF A LINE FROM 30N115W TO 20N126W TO 11N132W WITH
VERY ROUGH SEAS AS DESCRIBED ABOVE. SEAS ARE MODERATE ELSEWHERE.

SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - NNW 13-16, Seas SSW 1.3-2.4 ft @ 13sec
TONITE - NNW 15-19, Seas NW 4-4.4 ft @ 5sec
WEDNESDAY - NNW 15-19, Seas NW 4-4.4 ft @ 5sec
WEDNESDAY NIGHT - NW 13-16, Seas NW 5-5.3 ft @ 6sec

LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
THURSDAY - NW 13-16, Seas NW 5-5.3 ft @ 6sec
FRIDAY - NNW 13-16, Seas SSW 3.4-3.9 ft @ 14sec
SATURDAY - NNW 16-20, Seas SSW 3.7-4.1 ft @ 13sec
SUNDAY - NNW 15-19, Seas NW 4.6-4.9 ft @ 6sec
MONDAY - NNW 11-14, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?