southerncrossingforecast: Solmate Southern Crossing Forecast
URL: http://svsarana.com/wx-data/Sea%20of%20Cortez%20Southern%20Crossing%20Forecast.html
Date: 18 Feb 2026 02:21:47 -0000
Last-Modified: 18 Feb 2026 02:01:07 -0000
Expires: 31 Dec 2037 23:55:55 -0000
(Converted from HTML)
Sea of Cortez Southern Crossing Forecast
Sea of Cortez Southern Crossing Forecast
February 17, 2026, 9:01 pm (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Sea of Cortez Southern Crossing Forecast
Questions/Comments visit https://svsarana.com
This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
WARNINGS
.NONE.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 31.5N113.5W TO 30.5N115W. WITHIN
31N113W TO 31N114W TO 31N115W TO 30N114W TO 30N113W TO 31N113W
...INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA...SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.
SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 31N113W TO 30N115W. WITHIN
31N113W TO 30N115W TO 30N114W TO 29N113W TO 29N112W TO 31N113W
...INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA...SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.
SEAS TO 2.5 M.
A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM SW TEXAS TO ACROSS N-CENTRAL MEXICO TO
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA WHERE IT DECAYS TO NEAR
CABO SAN LUCAS. HIGH PRESSURE IS BUILDING ACROSS THE WATERS IN
THE WAKE OF AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT NOW, AND COMBINED WITH
TROUGHING OVER INLAND SW MEXICO SUPPORTS FRESH TO STRONG NW-N
WINDS NEAR CABO CORRIENTES. MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS ARE OFFSHORE
BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM NEAR PUNTA EUGENIA SOUTHWARD, AND IN THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. WINDS ARE MODERATE OR WEAKER
ELSEWHERE. ROUGH SEAS OF 8 FT OR GREATER ARE SPREADING OFFSHORE
BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM NEAR CABO SAN LAZARO NORTHWESTWARD. SEAS ARE
MAINLY MODERATE ELSEWHERE, EXCEPT SLIGHT IN THE MAJORITY OF THE
GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE COLD FRONT OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA WILL DISSIPATE TONIGHT. FRESH TO NEAR GALE-FORCE W-SW
WINDS WILL DEVELOP IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA BY EARLY
THU, AS A TROUGH DEVELOPS THERE, PERSISTING INTO EARLY FRI. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE BUILD IN ACROSS THE AREA WATERS IN THE
WAKE OF THE FRONT THROUGH FRI, PRODUCING FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG
NORTHERLY WINDS NEARSHORE BAJA CALIFORNIA THROUGH THU NIGHT.
FRESH TO STRONG WINDS NEAR CABO CORRIENTES WILL PERSIST INTO
EARLY WED BEFORE DIMINISHING TO FRESH. FRESH WINDS WILL DOMINATE
THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA SAT THROUGH SUN NIGHT
DUE TO A LOCALLY TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT. NW SWELL WILL CONTINUE
TO BUILD ACROSS THE WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA THROUGH WED, THEN
BECOME REINFORCED WED NIGHT THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK, DECAYING
DURING THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.
LOOKING AHEAD, LONG RANGE MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES THE POTENTIAL
FOR AT LEAST A STRONG GALE-FORCE NORTHERLY GAP WIND EVENT IN THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC LATE IN THE UPCOMING WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK, ALTHOUGH UNCERTAINTY EXISTS BEING SO FAR OUT IN TIME.
PLEASE STAY TUNED AS WE GET CLOSER TO THIS NEXT POTENTIAL EVENT.
A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM SW TEXAS TO ACROSS N-CENTRAL MEXICO TO
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA WHERE IT DECAYS TO NEAR
CABO SAN LUCAS. ANOTHER COLD FRONT IS ANALYZED N OF THE AREA FROM
NEAR THE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA OFFSHORE. FRESH TO STRONG
ASSOCIATED WINDS ARE PUSHING AHEAD OF THE FRONT ALONG WITH VERY
ROUGH SWELLS ENCLOSING ON 30N. A RIDGE EXTENDS ACROSS THE WATERS
FROM NEAR 30N139W TO OFFSHORE SW MEXICO. DEEP LAYERED TROUGHING
HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 140W AND THE W-CENTRAL WATERS WITH ACTIVE
CONVECTION AS DESCRIBED ABOVE. ASSOCIATED FRESH TO STRONG WINDS
COVER THE WATERS ROUGHLY FROM 09N TO 25N BETWEEN 120W AND 140W.
WINDS ARE MAINLY MODERATE OR WEAKER ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE
WATERS. FOR SEAS, ROUGH SEAS COVER THE WATERS FROM 07N TO 30N
BETWEEN 115W AND 140W. VERY ROUGH SEAS ARE FROM 13N TO 21N
BETWEEN 136W AND 140W NEAR THE TROUGHING.
FOR THE FORECAST, HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN THE WAKE OF THE
COLD FRONT DISSIPATING OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA WHILE
THE DEEP LAYERED TROUGHING PERSISTS IN THE W-CENTRAL WATERS NEAR
140W. THIS SCENARIO WILL SUPPORT A BROAD AREA OF FRESH TO NEAR
GALE-FORCE TRADES N OF THE ITCZ TO NEAR 24N AND W OF 130W
THROUGH EARLY FRI, ALONG WITH ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS. EXPECT
ACTIVE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO ACCOMPANY THESE INCREASING
TRADES. MARINE CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE BY THE END OF THE WEEK
AND INTO THE WEEKEND AS THE DISTURBANCE DISSIPATES AND THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT WEAKENS.
SIGNIFICANT LARGE NW SWELL: NW-N SWELL THAT WAS SUPPORTING SEAS
OF 12 FT OR GREATER HAS DECAYED DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS,
HOWEVER ROUGH SEAS OF 8 FT OR GREATER REMAINS, COVERING A LARGE
AREA FROM 07N TO 30N BETWEEN 115W AND 140W. A NEW SET OF
REINFORCING NORTHERLY SWELL WILL PUSH S OF 30N OVERNIGHT, WITH
SEAS BUILDING AGAIN TO GREATER THAN 12 FT. SEAS OF 12 FT OR
GREATER WILL COVER THE WATERS FROM 26N TO 30N BETWEEN BAJA
CALIFORNIA AND 140W BY WED EVENING WHILE PEAKING AROUND 15 FT
NEAR 30N BETWEEN 120W AND 132W, THEN GRADUALLY DECAYING BACK
BELOW 12 FT BY THU EVENING. LOOKING AHEAD, ANOTHER SIGNIFICANT
AND LARGE NW SWELL EVENT IS POSSIBLE IN THE NW WATERS LATE IN THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. PLEASE REFER TO THE
LATEST NWS HIGH SEAS FORECAST AT WEBSITE:
HTTPS://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TEXT/MIAHSFEP2.SHTML FOR MORE DETAILS.
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - NNW 15-19, Seas NW 4.6-4.9 ft @ 6sec
TONITE - NNW 14-17, Seas NW 4.6-4.9 ft @ 6sec
THURSDAY - NNW 14-17, Seas NW 4.6-4.9 ft @ 6sec
THURSDAY NIGHT - NNW 11-14, Seas SSW 2.9-3.5 ft @ 14sec
LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
FRIDAY - NNW 13-16, Seas SSW 3-3.6 ft @ 14sec
SATURDAY - NW 14-17, Seas SSW 3.3-3.7 ft @ 13sec
SUNDAY - NW 15-19, Seas NW 4.5-4.8 ft @ 6sec
MONDAY - NNW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - Not available yet
Date: 18 Feb 2026 02:21:47 -0000
Last-Modified: 18 Feb 2026 02:01:07 -0000
Expires: 31 Dec 2037 23:55:55 -0000
(Converted from HTML)
Sea of Cortez Southern Crossing Forecast
Sea of Cortez Southern Crossing Forecast
February 17, 2026, 9:01 pm (UTC: -05:00)
Subject: Sea of Cortez Southern Crossing Forecast
Questions/Comments visit https://svsarana.com
This forecast has not been reviewed. It was generated from an automatic model.
WARNINGS
.NONE.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 31.5N113.5W TO 30.5N115W. WITHIN
31N113W TO 31N114W TO 31N115W TO 30N114W TO 30N113W TO 31N113W
...INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA...SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.
SEAS LESS THAN 2.5 M.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 31N113W TO 30N115W. WITHIN
31N113W TO 30N115W TO 30N114W TO 29N113W TO 29N112W TO 31N113W
...INCLUDING THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA...SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.
SEAS TO 2.5 M.
A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM SW TEXAS TO ACROSS N-CENTRAL MEXICO TO
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA WHERE IT DECAYS TO NEAR
CABO SAN LUCAS. HIGH PRESSURE IS BUILDING ACROSS THE WATERS IN
THE WAKE OF AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT NOW, AND COMBINED WITH
TROUGHING OVER INLAND SW MEXICO SUPPORTS FRESH TO STRONG NW-N
WINDS NEAR CABO CORRIENTES. MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS ARE OFFSHORE
BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM NEAR PUNTA EUGENIA SOUTHWARD, AND IN THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA. WINDS ARE MODERATE OR WEAKER
ELSEWHERE. ROUGH SEAS OF 8 FT OR GREATER ARE SPREADING OFFSHORE
BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM NEAR CABO SAN LAZARO NORTHWESTWARD. SEAS ARE
MAINLY MODERATE ELSEWHERE, EXCEPT SLIGHT IN THE MAJORITY OF THE
GULF OF CALIFORNIA.
FOR THE FORECAST, THE COLD FRONT OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF
CALIFORNIA WILL DISSIPATE TONIGHT. FRESH TO NEAR GALE-FORCE W-SW
WINDS WILL DEVELOP IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA BY EARLY
THU, AS A TROUGH DEVELOPS THERE, PERSISTING INTO EARLY FRI. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE BUILD IN ACROSS THE AREA WATERS IN THE
WAKE OF THE FRONT THROUGH FRI, PRODUCING FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG
NORTHERLY WINDS NEARSHORE BAJA CALIFORNIA THROUGH THU NIGHT.
FRESH TO STRONG WINDS NEAR CABO CORRIENTES WILL PERSIST INTO
EARLY WED BEFORE DIMINISHING TO FRESH. FRESH WINDS WILL DOMINATE
THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA SAT THROUGH SUN NIGHT
DUE TO A LOCALLY TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT. NW SWELL WILL CONTINUE
TO BUILD ACROSS THE WATERS OF BAJA CALIFORNIA THROUGH WED, THEN
BECOME REINFORCED WED NIGHT THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK, DECAYING
DURING THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.
LOOKING AHEAD, LONG RANGE MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES THE POTENTIAL
FOR AT LEAST A STRONG GALE-FORCE NORTHERLY GAP WIND EVENT IN THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC LATE IN THE UPCOMING WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK, ALTHOUGH UNCERTAINTY EXISTS BEING SO FAR OUT IN TIME.
PLEASE STAY TUNED AS WE GET CLOSER TO THIS NEXT POTENTIAL EVENT.
A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM SW TEXAS TO ACROSS N-CENTRAL MEXICO TO
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA WHERE IT DECAYS TO NEAR
CABO SAN LUCAS. ANOTHER COLD FRONT IS ANALYZED N OF THE AREA FROM
NEAR THE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA OFFSHORE. FRESH TO STRONG
ASSOCIATED WINDS ARE PUSHING AHEAD OF THE FRONT ALONG WITH VERY
ROUGH SWELLS ENCLOSING ON 30N. A RIDGE EXTENDS ACROSS THE WATERS
FROM NEAR 30N139W TO OFFSHORE SW MEXICO. DEEP LAYERED TROUGHING
HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 140W AND THE W-CENTRAL WATERS WITH ACTIVE
CONVECTION AS DESCRIBED ABOVE. ASSOCIATED FRESH TO STRONG WINDS
COVER THE WATERS ROUGHLY FROM 09N TO 25N BETWEEN 120W AND 140W.
WINDS ARE MAINLY MODERATE OR WEAKER ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE
WATERS. FOR SEAS, ROUGH SEAS COVER THE WATERS FROM 07N TO 30N
BETWEEN 115W AND 140W. VERY ROUGH SEAS ARE FROM 13N TO 21N
BETWEEN 136W AND 140W NEAR THE TROUGHING.
FOR THE FORECAST, HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN THE WAKE OF THE
COLD FRONT DISSIPATING OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA WHILE
THE DEEP LAYERED TROUGHING PERSISTS IN THE W-CENTRAL WATERS NEAR
140W. THIS SCENARIO WILL SUPPORT A BROAD AREA OF FRESH TO NEAR
GALE-FORCE TRADES N OF THE ITCZ TO NEAR 24N AND W OF 130W
THROUGH EARLY FRI, ALONG WITH ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS. EXPECT
ACTIVE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO ACCOMPANY THESE INCREASING
TRADES. MARINE CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE BY THE END OF THE WEEK
AND INTO THE WEEKEND AS THE DISTURBANCE DISSIPATES AND THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT WEAKENS.
SIGNIFICANT LARGE NW SWELL: NW-N SWELL THAT WAS SUPPORTING SEAS
OF 12 FT OR GREATER HAS DECAYED DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS,
HOWEVER ROUGH SEAS OF 8 FT OR GREATER REMAINS, COVERING A LARGE
AREA FROM 07N TO 30N BETWEEN 115W AND 140W. A NEW SET OF
REINFORCING NORTHERLY SWELL WILL PUSH S OF 30N OVERNIGHT, WITH
SEAS BUILDING AGAIN TO GREATER THAN 12 FT. SEAS OF 12 FT OR
GREATER WILL COVER THE WATERS FROM 26N TO 30N BETWEEN BAJA
CALIFORNIA AND 140W BY WED EVENING WHILE PEAKING AROUND 15 FT
NEAR 30N BETWEEN 120W AND 132W, THEN GRADUALLY DECAYING BACK
BELOW 12 FT BY THU EVENING. LOOKING AHEAD, ANOTHER SIGNIFICANT
AND LARGE NW SWELL EVENT IS POSSIBLE IN THE NW WATERS LATE IN THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. PLEASE REFER TO THE
LATEST NWS HIGH SEAS FORECAST AT WEBSITE:
HTTPS://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/TEXT/MIAHSFEP2.SHTML FOR MORE DETAILS.
SHORT-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING (along 23N)
TODAY - NNW 15-19, Seas NW 4.6-4.9 ft @ 6sec
TONITE - NNW 14-17, Seas NW 4.6-4.9 ft @ 6sec
THURSDAY - NNW 14-17, Seas NW 4.6-4.9 ft @ 6sec
THURSDAY NIGHT - NNW 11-14, Seas SSW 2.9-3.5 ft @ 14sec
LONG-TERM SOUTHERN CROSSING
FRIDAY - NNW 13-16, Seas SSW 3-3.6 ft @ 14sec
SATURDAY - NW 14-17, Seas SSW 3.3-3.7 ft @ 13sec
SUNDAY - NW 15-19, Seas NW 4.5-4.8 ft @ 6sec
MONDAY - NNW 13-16, Seas N/A ?-? ft @ ?
TUESDAY - Not available yet